A lot has been written and spoken about in the build-up to this Saturday night’s big fight – Deontay Wilder v Tyson Fury.
For one, it’s definitely the biggest heavyweight fight since the days of the last fully undisputed heavyweight king, Lennox Lewis.
Masses of opinions have been cast by boxers, media and fans alike – with the general consensus becoming a similar one throughout.
My thoughts are this fight goes only one of two ways. Whilst as things stand, you can begin to partially rule out some theories from the outset.
Based on this trio potentially not being on the cards, you’re looking at the following scenarios:
Wilder will be looking to start fast and take Fury out early. Tyson will have to weather a storm or two in the opening three or four rounds. This will be key to the rest of the contest.
Should Fury come through the first six in good shape, the fight pattern would favor the Brit.
Dependent on the judging being fair and square, it’s impossible to see how Wilder can outbox Fury. Although many said the same about Tony Bellew against Oleksandr Usyk and he was up on the cards at the time he was stopped.
Even saying that, Fury is too elusive at heavyweight and should be able to limit Wider’s windows of opportunity to around one every two rounds.
Fury may well be wobbled, he may even go down. But it’s the manner of how he takes these blows and whether they land full and flush – which is Fury’s key to victory.
A three-minute round where Wilder fails to land a significant punch will be in the bank for Fury, so theoretically he only needs to do this SEVEN times in the bout to take the title.
Obviously, we then go back to the officials and Fury would need to rely on those rounds going in his favor – as they always should.
To get the win, or even a draw – as stated in the numbered lists, Wilder needs to put Fury on the canvas a few times to even up the sessions.
It’s hard to imagine Wilder moving around with Fury and outboxing him for enough rounds to nick it on the scorecard. This will force the American to throw haymakers from the outset.
Essential for Wilder is that he times his attacks and holds back energy. He cannot jump on Fury, expending his tank at any and every opportunity.
If he does this, throws his gameplan out the window and fails to get Fury out of there, that’s when the danger of a late stoppage would come into play.
Coming in heavier than expected on the scales means Fury will also be aiming to spoil the fight. Leaning on the lighter Wilder whilst on the ropes in order to sap his energy.
Wilder needs to keep his distance as Fury attempts any rough-house tactics. For me, it’s just so tough to pick which way it goes.
This contest really can sway either way and it will be fascinating to witness the outcome.
Deontay Wilder KO 1-6 rounds @ 9/2 (Boosted by SkyBet)
Deontay Wilder 9-12 rounds @ 5/1
Tyson Fury by decision @ 5/2
Tyson Fury to be knocked down and fight to go the distance @ 13/2
PREDICTION: Going out on a limb. Tyson Fury wins via unanimous decision (115-111) after picking himself up off the floor, maybe more than once.
Phil Jay is Editor of World Boxing News. Follow on Twitter @PhilDJay